Spiderman beats Michael Moore – no contest

From the New York Times:

“Fahrenheit 9/11” is, as we keep being told, the most successful non-IMAX documentary of all time. What that means is that its ticket sales are whipping the bejesus out of “Winged Migration” and “Spellbound.” But by any other Hollywood standard this movie, while a bona fide surprise hit (especially in relation to its tiny budget), is not a blockbuster or must-see phenomenon (except to its core constituency). Of course, it is pulling in some Republicans, and you can be sure that the sighting of each and every one will be assiduously publicized by Mr. Moore. (“There was a Republican woman in Florida unable to get out of her seat, crying,” he told Time.) But with a take of $61 million by the end of its second weekend, “Fahrenheit 9/11” will have to sweat to bring in even a third of the $370 million piled up domestically by the red-state polemic to which its sectarian appeal is most frequently compared, “The Passion of the Christ.” If voting at a multiplex box-office constitutes any kind of straw poll, then Mr. Bush has already won re-election. By a landslide.

But he hasn’t, of course. The latest actual polls show the president with an approval rating below (in some cases well below) 50 percent. The election is both too far away and too close to call. And that’s why a movie like “Fahrenheit 9/11,” with its relatively narrow sampling, may be no more a reliable index to the mood of the country than the Literary Digest poll of 1936. It was so skewed by the demographics of its similarly self-selected participants that it gave Alf Landon a 14-point spread over F.D.R.

If you want to find a movie that might give a more accurate reading of the national pulse, it isn’t hard to do: just take a look at “Spider-Man 2,” which is now on a pace to outdraw Mr. Moore’s film and maybe every other film this year — in every conceivable demographic. It may not be on the radar screen of the Washington pack busy misreading the electoral tea leaves of “Fahrenheit 9/11” ‘s box-office receipts. No one is shouting about it on Fox. But with an opening five-day take of some $152 million — next to $128 million for the most recent Shrek, $125 million for Mel Gibson’s Christ, $124 million for the last Frodo, $109 million for the last Harry Potter — “Spider-Man 2” is front-and-center for most everyone else.

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